At the same time, India will move from being a very young country, to increasingly resembling something closer to a middle-aged country. But here again, there will be two speeds. The median Indian will be By , Bihar will be the only state that has not achieved replacement fertility, the projections say.
In demographic terms, a group is said to have achieved replacement fertility when the average woman will have no more than 2. Kerala achieved replacement fertility in , while Bihar will get there only in The new numbers come from a Technical Group on Population Projections that was set up in the office of the Registrar General of India to provide the country with population estimates for the period of The projections are made using data on fertility, mortality, migration and urbanisation.
Reporting to the police only resulted in cases against the complainants. A shroud of fear descended upon the land and travelling at night became hazardous, even for non-Muslims. A plan long in the making had started bearing fruition.
The state discovered a great conspiracy hatched by the Muslim youth to entice young Hindu girls in order to forcibly convert and then marry them. The popularity of this law soon became visible when states like MP and Gujarat also followed suit, with more waiting to do so. Again, fear engulfed the youth and they went running to the courts for help. The ruling establishment, which had come to power by propagating divisive politics, continued with this agenda and had little else to offer its electorate in terms of administration, development and fulfilling the basic needs of education, health and security, which happen to be the fundamental duties of the state.
A few days ago, I was watching NDTV News 24x7 where a discussion was taking place on the Indian response to the pandemic in general and the reliability of the data being provided by the state and the Central agencies. On being pointedly asked regarding the veracity of the data, Dr Vincent answered that the actual figures of the infected and dead were at least double the numbers given and went on to say that some put these at five times higher.
He was fully supported by Dr Menon and in a more muted manner by the third panellist this data has been further supplemented by articles appearing in the western media. This set the tone for the rest of the discussion, which focused on the shortage of vaccines, oxygen, etc. The fact that came out was that the entire health system was in a shambles in the face of the onslaught.
The administration even went to the extent of threatening people with registration of cases against anyone who was seen to be maligning the image of the government. However, the numbers began to swell and the health system came under pressure — the response was to fudge the figures. However, the gap between reality and lies was too much and whatever chance of acceptance it had was blown away by the discovery of hundreds of bloated bodies in the Ganga flowing through Bihar and UP.
Then hundreds of more bodies buried on the banks of the Ganga were found violated by wild animals. The deafening silence of the leadership even after the discovery of the bodies and their subsequent abuse speaks volumes.
NDTV also showed some village dispensaries in the vicinity of Delhi — no doctors, no staff, no equipment, but these were being used as storage for cow dung cakes, dry fodder, etc. The camera moved from village to village but the visuals were the same. If this is the story in the vicinity of Delhi, what must it be like in the rural interior belts. For a moment, the thought came to me that maybe these dispensaries were real and the cow dung and the fodder were raw material for producing new miracle cures a la baba Ramdev.
Let us now revert to areas of major worldwide concern. Foreign organisations like the ones in America are reporting that India is falling fast in its ranking of freedom to practice religion, freedom of the press and democratic values. Borders, both physical and virtual, have come up within the nation-state where none existed — Singhu, Tikri, ruling party states versus Opposition-ruled states. And that status will not materially change whoever wins this current Assembly election. For the sick state of UP to become healthy at last, it must first be divided into three or four self-governing parts.
For the good of India, for the good of its own residents, Uttar Pradesh needs to be divided into three, perhaps four, separate and distinct states, each with its own assembly and council of ministers.
Tragically, there is little chance of this happening. For Narendra Modi and his party, the capture and retention of power have always mattered much more than good governance.
In the general elections of and , the Bharatiya Janata Party won 71 and 62 seats from Uttar Pradesh, respectively, these playing a critical part in helping it gain an overall majority. The Modi government may hope that its failures in managing the economy and in containing the pandemic will be forgotten by , and that an aggressive Hindutva agenda, based on the construction of the Ram Temple and fears of Muslim demographic expansion, will polarise Hindu opinion in their favour and, once again, secure to the Bharatiya Janata Party a majority of the 80 seats in the Lok Sabha from Uttar Pradesh.
And so an undivided Uttar Pradesh will continue to suffer and stagnate, casting a negative shadow on the rest of the country as well. The future of the state, and of India itself, is currently being held hostage to the political ambitions of one man and his party. This article was first published in The Telegraph. Share your perspective on this article with a post on ScrollStack, and send it to your followers. Contribute Now. They consider this Term of Reference as penalizing states done well on family planning.
Center asks 15th FC to use census data instead of census used so far to determine devolution of taxes. This will further affect the interests of the south:we need to resist. There are other discontents shared by States in common, irrespective of the North-South divide, but vociferously being put forward by Southern states.
Some of them are:. Also, the population is not the only criteria for determining devolution by FC. Good governance and other developmental matrix are also considered by FC. So no state will be at a disadvantage. However, it is to be ensured that the redistributed resources are properly utilized by all states.
In , when the Indian Ministry of Environment, Forest, and Climate Change issued a notification banning the sale of cattle for slaughter, Twitter users from the Kerala state where beef dishes are popular protested by trending the hashtag DravidaNadu.
Stalin expressed his support for a sovereign Dravida Nadu state, should all the other South Indian states ever share the same notion. The ocean brings light to my country. Every place on the map of India near the ocean is well-off. But the river brings darkness to India. Thus the unity of India depends on mutual trust and cooperation of all states, facilitated by the centre.
Labour, resources, capital, geography, all the determinants of development is available within the borders of Indian territory. We need to leverage these through cooperative federalism, rather than mobilizing around divisive and arbitrary fault lines, through proper policy actions.
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So english for communication. Official languages for primary education. And a national language for the nation. The concept of promoting hindi is not only detrimental to national unity but also useless. The politicians would divert and misuse the funds in the name of promotion of hindi. Hindi cannot be used in medical practices, engineering, political thought, and many more arenas ; basically everywhere the modern world has been cradled from the Europe.
So promotion of hindi would mean ,a person from non hindi speaking state, has to learn English for earning, his native tongue for communication with locals and hindi for …? The hindi card is being used for the political parties of the north to gain foothold in the south , which is more secular, culturally diverse , modern in thought and traditional in culture. I really liked the flow of information and the structure of the article and in fact gravity of issue as well.
Humans have always loved creating rift, differences, conflicts, complications. To me, any body who promotes regionalism, and challenges the sovereignty of my nation, hindustan is a traitor and shall be treated like one.
And one suggestion to all the over intelligent people here trying to pick up a fight over the so called supremacy of their language over the language of Vedas, and God known as Sanskrit..
I appreciate your opinion. Boundaries or regions imaginary. If it is north or south we can still follow sanata dharma.
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